A Wall Street Journal poll from late February (PDF download) asked registered voters whom they had voted for four months earlier. The results:
- Barack Obama: 43%
- Mitt Romney: 36%
- Someone else: 5%
- Voted, but not sure for whom: 7%
- Did not vote: 8%
- Not sure whether they voted: 1%
If we take just those respondents who could clearly remember voting for someone, then Barack Obama won a little over 51%—an accurate reflection of the actual election. But Mitt Romney’s percentage dips from 47% to 43%. And the “Someone else” category pops from under 2% of the real total to nearly 6% of the claims. That leads to two conclusions:
- A significant number of people shy from admitting they voted for Mitt Romney.
- If someone tells you she voted for a third-party candidate in 2012, in almost two out of three cases she’s not telling the truth.